AI is still more expensive than SaaS

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While I was at Kruze, I compared the costs of traditional SaaS businesses to those of our AI clients. Not surprising, their costs were much higher, particularly the compute costs. While AI revenue grows quickly, costs rise even faster. Over the past year, AI compute expenses surged 300%, reaching 50% of revenue, while SaaS costs held steady at 18%.

Even with cheaper models like DeepSeek, supposedly trained for under $10M, running AI at scale is still far more expensive than SaaS for the near term, since most SaaS businesses don’t really have a ton of compute on the backend.

I do think that the super-easy money will eventually end – all of these bubbles do – but the best AI companies will start to focus on efficiency. It seems reasonable that more focused, point type LLMs/models, will be able to be created for less. For example, I don’t need a math focused LLM to know how to make sourdough bread…

I haven’t seen that many AI founders who are interested in efficiency yet, but it feels reasonable that sooner or later the best founders will realize that VCs are going to start becoming less interested in the high burn, and will ask for some attempts to create better unit economics.

What I Learned from Analyzing Startup Compensation

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One of the biggest challenges for startup founders is figuring out how to pay themselves and their first hires. It’s more than a bit of a mystery for most first time founders – something I get a lot of questions about. Since payroll often eats up more than 75% of a startup’s operating expenses, getting compensation right can make or break a company’s runway.

That’s why I put together the Startup Compensation Guide—real, data-driven insights based on actual payroll records from hundreds of venture-backed startups. One of the more surprising takeaways? At the seed stage, CTOs often earn more than CEOs, reflecting the intense demand for technical talent. Founder salaries scale with funding rounds, starting around $132,000 at seed and rising to $218,000 by Series B.

For early employees, I found that compensation varies significantly based on role, experience, and location. Engineering hires are usually the first and most expensive additions to a startup team. In major tech hubs like San Francisco, salaries range from $75,000 for entry-level engineers to over $230,000 for top-tier talent, with slightly lower pay in other cities. Sales, product, and design roles follow a similar pattern, but cash compensation is only part of the equation—startups also need to budget for equity, benefits, payroll taxes, and one-time costs like equipment and software, which can add 25-35% to the total cost of hiring.

Equity remains a huge part of startup compensation, and my research showed that early employees typically receive between 0.5% and 4% ownership, with later hires getting progressively smaller grants. Most startups follow a standard four-year vesting schedule with a one-year cliff, ensuring long-term commitment while protecting the cap table. Balancing cash and equity is crucial—more experienced hires may require higher salaries, while early-stage startups need to preserve equity for future rounds. By structuring compensation thoughtfully, using 409A valuations, and leveraging cap table management tools, founders can build competitive pay packages that attract and retain top talent while keeping their startup financially healthy.

The AI Investment Surge: My Thoughts Featured in the New York Times

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In a recent New York Times article, “Investors Pour $27.1 Billion Into AI Start-Ups, Defying a Downturn,” I had the opportunity to share insights on the extraordinary growth and challenges that AI start-ups are facing. The article highlighted the rapid influx of funding into AI firms, which attracted nearly half of all U.S. start-up investment from April to June 2024.

My (Healy Jones’) Experience with AI Investments

I’ve been working with a LOT of AI companies. A LOT! So that gives me a ton of data, and conversations with founders, to come up with some insights.

I was able to analyze 125 AI start-ups and found that they’re spending over 22% of their budgets on computing costs—more than double that of non-AI software companies. This capital-intensive reality helps explain why venture capitalists are throwing massive investments into AI, as I mentioned: “They clearly need the money.”

While the hype surrounding AI continues to grow, these companies will need sustained financial backing to handle the significant computing demands. I think we are going to see a split between the really capital intensive AI companies, and others that end up using smaller models, or other companies’ models, and try to build a business with less capital.

Can OpenAI Maintain Its First-Mover Advantage? My Insights in The Information

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I recently shared some thoughts in The Information‘s article, “How Long Can OpenAI’s First Mover Advantage Last?” The piece explores the rapid adoption of OpenAI among startups and raises the question of how long the company can maintain its competitive edge in an evolving AI landscape.

At Kruze, we’ve seen first-hand how quickly OpenAI has been integrated into the startup ecosystem. By October 2023, 57% of our clients were paying for OpenAI services, a rate of adoption that’s unprecedented. Startups are using AI for everything from marketing copy and Excel modeling to data processing and even training their own custom AI models. Check out our data on how startups are using AI.

However, from what I’m observing, it’s unlikely that startups will remain reliant on a single AI model for long. Many are already switching between different models with surprising ease. I believe that, moving forward, startups will leverage multiple AI models based on three key factors: cost, effectiveness for specific applications, and speed.

In the end, it’s going to come down to which tool provides the best results for each unique task. Startups are constantly balancing efficiency with expenses, and I think we’ll see companies become increasingly agile in swapping between AI models to optimize for these variables. The AI landscape is rapidly evolving, and while OpenAI’s adoption has been nothing short of impressive, its lead is far from guaranteed.

For the full story, check out the article on The Information.

Founder salaries coming down in 2024

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Once again, Kruze published our annual startup CEO salary study – this is one of the most impactful press campaigns that I’ve ever done. We have published this data since 2018, and I’m really proud of how well it does, both in terms of helping our founders and in terms of how much press (and SEO traffic) that we get from it. One of the publications that covered it this year was Inc.

Fun with AI – Jerky Steve Jobs

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I’ve been having a lot of fun with AI. One thing that I think is great is that you can ‘get advice’ from real people, at least you can get the AI to give you advice pretending to be those people… if they were famous enough to have enough stuff on the internet for the LLM to train on.

Here is some advice from a jerky Steve Jobs:

Well, well, well, it seems like we’ve hit a bump in the road, haven’t we? Let’s put a dent in this universe, shall we? Sit down, grab your favorite drink, and listen. If you thought this was going to be easy, you should have stuck to Sudoku.

First, let’s get this straight, products don’t fail, visions do. What’s your vision? What? Don’t have one? Then, there’s your first problem. Without vision, you’re just another no-name trying to hustle in the Silicon Valley rat race. No wonder the product isn’t shining. Remember, a product isn’t an item, it’s a solution to a problem. Is your product solving any problem? Or did you just push out something because your coding fingers were itchy?

Let’s talk about the product now. What’s wrong with it? What’s right with it? Can’t tell me? How do you expect your customers to figure it out? A product’s quality isn’t measured in lines of code or the time it took to design its logo. It’s about how it makes life easier, better, more enjoyable. In short, it’s about adding value. Is your product doing that?

And, oh boy, don’t get me started on your team. Are they A-players or just some people who know how to use a computer? If you’re the smartest person in the room, you’re in the wrong room. If your team doesn’t challenge you, doesn’t push the boundaries, doesn’t make you lose your temper once in a while, then they’re not the ones who’ll build the next big thing. Fire them. Hire the ones who can make your product a star.

Now, before I finish my rant, let me tell you something. It’s okay to fail. Heck, I got kicked out of my own company. But, I came back and made it the first trillion-dollar one. It’s not about the fall, it’s about the comeback. So, stop whining about your failure and start plotting your comeback.

You don’t need to be the next Steve Jobs. Be the first you. But for crying out loud, make sure you’re a damn good one. Get back to work now.

Some fun new marketing for telemedicine

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I’m continuing to mess around with telemedicine marketing and SEO. In particular, I have been writing about some of the market leaders serving men – namely, Hims, Roman and Keeps. One of the places I’m trying to get the word out is on the AP News site – you can read my recent review of Hims vs. Roman vs. Keeps there. I tear down these three hair loss providers, and get a bit into the differences and similarities in their treatment options.

It’s still a really fascinating space. I’m looking forward to what these brands try to do in 2021; no idea if they’ll stick with their core, men’s health issues or if they’ll get into new topics.

Update in 2023 – so this was a great project, and I exited successfully in mid-2022.

Still into telemedicine startups

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I’ve written a few pieces over on Medium about how I’m getting into telemedicine. For example, this one is about how I hoped telemedicine would adapt to help out during the COVID crisis. I wrote about how I liked the fact that the new telemedicine startup players have the infrastructure for diagnosis and care delivery, could provide access to anyone with a data plan (even in rural areas), were driving adoption of telemedicine, would make it safer to see a doctor (since you didn’t have to go to a crowded doctor’s office), could help with triage and treat other conditions during the crisis.

So far, I’d say that this is panning out, with players like Hims offering a large number of doctor visits for a huge number of conditions that go beyond their hair loss treatments and get into primary care, skin care and more. Pretty exciting stuff for the future of telemedicine and treatment delivery! I hope Hims and Roman and the like continue to innovate.

Creating a private Twitter list

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Private Twitter lists are a great way to keep up to date on a group of companies, competitors, thought leaders, journalists, etc. – without anyone knowing who you are following.

Why create a private Twitter list?

Twitter lists are like a modern RSS feed – you can passively watch a lot of different companies/people and know about interesting news, trends, etc – without having to actively do any real work.

Keeping the Twitter list private means that the people you follow, and competitors, won’t know who you are following. This helps if you are following a list of customers and you don’t want your competitors to know. Or if you put a lot of time into creating a Twitter list that give you some kind of a competitive advantage and you don’t want someone else to benefit from you work.

I found that it’s not easy to find information on how to create a private Twitter list – not really sure why, as it’s very easy.

How do you create a private Twitter list?

  1. Click on your face in the top right 
  2. Click “lists”
  3. Click “create a new” list to the right
  4. Name the Twitter list it
  5. Make sure you select the “private” option
  6. Add people to the list, and there you go!

How do you make an existing Twitter list private?

If you already have a Twitter list and want to convert it from public, where anyone can see it, to Private, where only you can access the list, all you have to do is:

  1. Click on your face in the top right (see the image above)
  2. Click “Lists”
  3. Choose the list, from you lists in the middle
  4. On the left, click “edit”
  5. Choose “Private”, then save list

Done!

ForUsAll

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I’m excited to announce that I recently joined ForUsAll! ForUsAll is focused on making 401(k) retirement plans available to small and mid-sized businesses. This is a market ripe for innovation. If a SMB does offer their employees a 401(k) plan, they end up paying high fees, dealing with administration headaches and often get less than ideal employee participation rates.

ForUsAll is trying to change all of that using design and technology innovation. The founders come from a deep 401(k) lineage, having helped build Financial Engines – a major player in the Fortune 500 retirement benefit space. My role is to lead our nascent marketing team and I get to partner closely with our rapidly growing sales team. One of the things that most excited me about joining ForUsAll was getting to work with another fast paced sales team – I really enjoyed working with sales at Sunrun, and this is a tremendous opportunity to help shape an awesome sales and marketing organization. I’m also proud to say that we have recently announced our Series A venture capital raise, which you can read about here.

I hope that I’ll have time to blog more about the strategies and tactics that I’m using at ForUsAll. One of my initial goals has been to generate content for the company, so I’ve been writing and editing a ton. This means that I’m back in the groove of writing – awesome! But it also means that I’m busy writing like crazy for my day job, which may make it harder to produce content for this blog.

Now that I’ve left ForUsAll, I’ve put together some “industry insider” reviews of fintech 401(k) companies. You can read a Guideline 401(k) review here, and a ForUsAll 401(k) review here, and a Human Interest 401(k) review here.